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WED 08.26.202630-YR 6.65%10-YR 4.640.06HOMEBUILDERS 0.36%Newsletter
TOPIC / CAPITAL MARKETS / 109 STORIES

Capital Markets & Debt

Rates, the maturity wall, cap rates, and where transaction volume is unfreezing. The lens every development decision is read through.

Every development decision runs through capital markets: the cost of debt, how much a loan will size, where cap rates sit, and whether there is a buyer. When those freeze, deals stop; when they thaw, the pipeline moves.

The defining pressure now is a concentrated wave of loan maturities refinancing into higher rates, set against a large pool of dry powder waiting for pricing to clear. The gap between the two is where distress, and opportunity, live.

This hub follows the money: rate moves, the maturity wall, cap-rate shifts, lending capacity, and the deals that signal where transaction volume returns first.

The developers on this beat

The firms our capital markets & debt coverage names, most-covered first, with the number of stories naming each one.

Latest coverage

Capital & Deals / South Florida

A buyer with no retail track record wrote a nine-figure-adjacent check for a Doral shopping center, a signal that grocery anchors are pulling capital from outside the sector even as SoFla office and condo distress dominates headlines.

08.25.26 · 1 min read
Distress & Opportunity / South Florida

Justice Andrew Borrok's temporary order buys Penn-Florida time on the Mandarin Oriental Boca Raton condo tower, but the underlying mortgage foreclosure keeps running in Palm Beach County.

08.23.26 · 2 min read
Capital & Deals / South Florida

Clara Homes secured a $101.5 million refinancing from Hudson Bay Capital on the first two phases of its Clara Bay Harbour project in Bay Harbor Islands.

08.06.26 · 2 min read
Capital & Deals / National

Four banks required about 50% preleasing to fund a 46-story Manhattan tower. The spread, the step-down triggers, and the loan-to-cost ratio are the clearest public benchmark yet for what new office construction debt costs in 2026.

07.30.26 · 2 min read
Markets & Data / National

A housing-policy week from Washington to the states, a first sign of data-center cooling, and a capital market that would not sit still. The week that was in US development.

07.11.26 · 2 min read

Frequently asked

What is unfreezing commercial real estate transaction volume?
Transactions restart when buyers and sellers agree on price. That happens as interest-rate expectations stabilize, as forced sellers, borrowers facing maturities, bring assets to market, and as record dry powder pressures investors to deploy. Volume tends to return first in sectors and markets where distress creates clear pricing.
How do higher rates change what a developer can borrow?
Higher rates raise the cost of debt and lower how much a loan will size, because lenders underwrite to a debt-service coverage ratio. The same asset supports a smaller loan than it did at lower rates, so borrowers must contribute more equity or accept lower leverage. That reprices deals across the board.
What is dry powder and why does it matter?
Dry powder is committed capital that funds have raised but not yet invested. Large amounts of it are waiting on the sidelines for pricing to clear. It matters because it is a coiled spring: when values reset far enough, that capital deploys quickly, which supports pricing and reopens transaction markets.