101,320 People Left the Bay Area for Other States
IRS data: 101,320 people moved from the Bay Area to other states in 2022-23. What it means for housing demand.
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- Data feed
The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) counts 101,320 people moved from the Bay Area to other states in 2022-23, the latest year published. Texas ranked first among destinations, followed by New York, Washington, Nevada and Oregon.
Why it matters
The IRS series is built from tax returns that changed address between years, so it shows which destination states matter most for the Bay Area’s housing demand. Developers, lenders and brokers sizing demand can read the destination states as where local households are going instead. Each figure below counts people claimed on tax returns, so it does not cover every mover.
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The numbers
In 2022-23, 101,320 people moved from the Bay Area to other states. In the same year, 79,009 people moved from other states to the Bay Area, which works out to a net loss of 22,311 people to other states. The top five destination states were Texas (13,198), New York (7,927), Washington (7,831), Nevada (5,644), and Oregon (4,422).
The Census Bureau estimates run through July 2025 and cover San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa and Marin counties combined. They show a net loss of 49,467 to other states in the year to July 2025, compared with a net gain of 3,546 from other states in the year to July 2011, and 43,504 arrivals from other countries in the year to July 2025, compared with 36,447 in 2011.
The map-and-bars video behind this story shows the same IRS figures for each year from 2011-12 to 2022-23, using a two-year average for the bars.
What’s next
The IRS has not published 2023-24 migration files; the agency’s file for that year returned a not-found error when we checked on Nov. 12, 2026, so 2022-23 is the latest year. We will update the figures when the IRS releases the next file. The Census Bureau’s next population estimates are the next check on the trend.
Method note: the IRS counts tax filers and their claimed dependents only, and it suppresses small flows, so the state totals listed above are lower bounds. The region here is San Francisco, San Mateo, Santa Clara, Alameda, Contra Costa and Marin counties combined. More local coverage is on the San Francisco market page. Both datasets are public: the IRS Statistics of Income migration data and the Census Bureau population estimates.
On the record
101,320 people moved from the Bay Area to other states in 2022-23, against 79,009 people moved from other states to the Bay Area in the same year, from IRS county-level migration files we summed ourselves
Our data · irs.gov
Primary record
- US Census Bureau, population estimates 2020-2025Annual estimates of net domestic and international migration, July 2025
- US Census Bureau, population estimates 2010-2020Annual estimates of net domestic and international migration, 2011 to 2020